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UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. BarcelosSnapshot captured Sep 26, 20263 roundsmodel v2.1

Click a fighter’s name to see their full stats as captured before the event.

Result

Ailin Perez won by unanimous decision

After 3 rounds
Prediction correct

How the fight went

Judges' cards

Eric Colon
28–29
Mike Bell
28–29
Sal D'amato
28–29

Norma Dumont's score first

CageMetrics read (Norma Dumont's side)

  1. R1 Barely lost
  2. R2 Won
  3. R3 Even

CM card 29–29

~ CM: too close to call

Scored from the official stats only. Judges also weigh damage, pace and near finishes, so a round within 10 points can fairly go either way on their cards.

CageMetrics verdict

Norma Dumont
Toss-up ~
Ailin Perez
Toss-up ~

Performance vs expectations · 15.0 minutes fought

  • An average fight by UFC standards, and about as busy as these two usually are (Dumont's fights average 47, Perez's 42).
  • A toss-up on our card (29–29); the judges went Perez's way.
  • Perez won without wrestling, usually their main weapon: 1.0 takedowns per 15 minutes against a usual 4.9.

Action score 48.2 · Moderate · better than 36% of UFC fights

Each fighter against expectations

Norma Dumontusual fight: 47 Moderate

Controlled 4% of the fight; we expected 38%.

  • Sig. strikes 3.1/min

    −10% (3.4/min) expected−20% (3.8/min) usual−23% (4.0/min) style

  • Takedowns 1.0/15 min

    −2.9 (3.9/15 min) expected−0.4 (1.4/15 min) usual−0.1 (1.1/15 min) style

  • Control 4%

    −33 pts (38%) expected−18 pts (23%) usual−17 pts (21%) style

  • Knockdowns 0

    (0.2/fight) usual(0.1/fight) style

Ailin Perezusual fight: 42 Moderate

1.0 takedowns per 15 minutes; we expected 12.2.

  • Sig. strikes 2.5/min

    ±0% (2.5/min) expected−14% (2.9/min) usual−23% (3.2/min) style

  • Takedowns 1.0/15 min

    −11.2 (12.2/15 min) expected−3.9 (4.9/15 min) usual−2.3 (3.3/15 min) style

  • Control 25%

    −38 pts (62%) expected−20 pts (45%) usual−6 pts (31%) style

  • Knockdowns 0

    (0.1/fight) usual(0.1/fight) style

Paces per minute fought. Expected is our pre-fight prediction; usual is the fighter's UFC pace before this fight.