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UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. BarcelosSnapshot captured Sep 26, 20263 roundsmodel v2.1

Click a fighter’s name to see their full stats as captured before the event.

Result

Raul Rosas Jr. won by KO/TKO

Round 5 · 1:38
Prediction incorrect

How the fight went

Judges' cards

No data

CageMetrics read (Raoni Barcelos's side)

  1. R1 Won
  2. R2 Won big
  3. R3 Barely won
  4. R4 Won big
  5. R5 Barely lost (stopped)

CM card 49–46

Scored from the official stats only. Judges also weigh damage, pace and near finishes, so a round within 10 points can fairly go either way on their cards.

CageMetrics verdict

Raoni Barcelos
Stopped While Ahead ~
Raul Rosas Jr.
Comeback Finish ✓

Performance vs expectations · 21.6 minutes fought

  • One of the busiest fights around, busier than 98% of UFC fights, and far busier than either usually fights (Barcelos' fights average 59, Rosas Jr.'s 36).
  • Rosas Jr. won from behind: Barcelos was ahead on our card after 4 rounds (40–36) before Rosas Jr. finished it in R5.
  • Both fighters went all in on the feet, trying to out-strike each other: Barcelos landed 5.9 significant strikes a minute and Rosas Jr. 5.2, both well above their usual.

Action score 89.6 · High Action · better than 98% of UFC fights

Each fighter against expectations

Raoni Barcelosusual fight: 59 Action-Packed

Controlled 29% of the fight; we expected 65%.

  • Sig. strikes 5.9/min

    +43% (4.1/min) expected+26% (4.7/min) usual+63% (3.6/min) style

  • Takedowns 6.2/15 min

    −3.1 (9.3/15 min) expected+3.7 (2.5/15 min) usual+4.5 (1.7/15 min) style

  • Control 29%

    −35 pts (65%) expected+9 pts (21%) usual+13 pts (17%) style

  • Knockdowns 0

    (0.3/fight) usual(0.2/fight) style

Raul Rosas Jr.usual fight: 36 Low Action

Landed 5.2 significant strikes a minute; we expected 1.0.

  • Sig. strikes 5.2/min

    +429% (1.0/min) expected+290% (1.3/min) usual+50% (3.5/min) style

  • Takedowns 0.7/15 min

    −6.1 (6.8/15 min) expected−6.1 (6.8/15 min) usual−3.3 (3.9/15 min) style

  • Control 4%

    −31 pts (35%) expected−53 pts (57%) usual−27 pts (31%) style

  • Knockdowns 0

    (0.1/fight) usual(0.1/fight) style

Paces per minute fought. Expected is our pre-fight prediction; usual is the fighter's UFC pace before this fight.