UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos

Sep 26, 20267 matchups · 5 without a predictionmodel v2.1

Meta APEX · Las Vegas United States

Main card: Sep 27, 2026

Paramount+

Don't Miss A Moment Of UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs Barcelos, Live From Meta APEX In Las Vegas, Nevada On September 26, 2026

Event recap

Barcelos vs Rosas Jr. was the fight of the card: busier than 98% of UFC fights.
8 of 12 fights ended early: 6 by KO/TKO and 2 by submission.
Our picks went 5 from 7; the biggest miss was Rosas Jr. beating Barcelos, who we gave 63%.

Finishes

8/12

6 KO/TKO · 2 submissions

Decisions

1 other (DQ, no contest)

Our picks

5/7

71% correct

Biggest upset

Raul Rosas Jr.

We gave them 37%

1.Raoni Barcelos vs Raul Rosas Jr.
Raul Rosas Jr. won by KO/TKO (R5 1:38)
89.6 · High Action · busier than 98% of UFC fights
Comeback finishUpset
Rosas Jr. won from behind: Barcelos was ahead on our card after 4 rounds (40–36) before Rosas Jr. finished it in R5.
2.Tina Black vs Melissa Amaya
Tina Black won by KO/TKO (R2 3:19)
85.2 · High Action · busier than 96% of UFC fights
Black dominated before finishing it in R2.
3.Rodolfo Bellato vs Christian Edwards
Christian Edwards won by KO/TKO (R3 1:47)
83.9 · High Action · busier than 96% of UFC fights
Much of the fight was spent in control: Bellato 36% of it, Edwards 23%.

Robert Bryczek vs Rodolfo Vieira
Rodolfo Vieira won by unanimous decision
29.3 · Low Action · busier than 5% of UFC fights
Well below what these two usually give (their fights average 59).
Bryczek set the pace on the feet, 2.5 significant strikes a minute to 1.6.

Predicted: Raoni Barcelos · 63% · medium confidence

IncorrectRaul Rosas Jr. won by KO/TKO · R5

Predicted: Ailin Perez · 55% · low confidence

CorrectAilin Perez won by Decision - Unanimous · R3

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