vs
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Brady Hiestand won by submission
How the fight went
Judges' cards
No data
CageMetrics read (Brady Hiestand's side)
- R1 Barely won
- R2 Barely won (stopped)
CM card 20–18
Scored from the official stats only. Judges also weigh damage, pace and near finishes, so a round within 10 points can fairly go either way on their cards.
CageMetrics verdict
- Brady Hiestand
- Finish ✓
- Rinya Nakamura
- Stopped ~
Performance vs expectations · 9.1 minutes fought
- An average fight by UFC standards, and fought at Hiestand's pace: busier than Nakamura's fights usually are (48), about Hiestand's usual (63).
- Hiestand won by submission without landing a takedown (usually 4.8 per 15 minutes).
- Not the result we expected: we had Nakamura at 55%, and Hiestand won.
Action score 62.6 · Action-Packed · better than 68% of UFC fights
Each fighter against expectations
Brady Hiestandusual fight: 63 Action-Packed
0.0 takedowns per 15 minutes; we expected 5.2.
Sig. strikes 2.9/min
+31% (2.2/min) expected+5% (2.7/min) usual−18% (3.5/min) style
Takedowns 0.0/15 min
−5.2 (5.2/15 min) expected−4.8 (4.8/15 min) usual−3.9 (3.9/15 min) style
Control 20%
−12 pts (32%) expected−27 pts (47%) usual−11 pts (31%) style
Knockdowns 0
(0.0/fight) usual(0.1/fight) style
| Stat | This fight | vs expected | vs usual | vs Bantamweight wrestlers |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sig. strikes | 2.9/min | +31% (2.2/min) | +5% (2.7/min) | −18% (3.5/min) |
| Takedowns | 0.0/15 min | −5.2 (5.2/15 min) | −4.8 (4.8/15 min) | −3.9 (3.9/15 min) |
| Control | 20% | −12 pts (32%) | −27 pts (47%) | −11 pts (31%) |
| Knockdowns | 0 | — | (0.0/fight) | (0.1/fight) |
Rinya Nakamurausual fight: 48 Moderate
Controlled 17% of the fight; we expected 68%.
Sig. strikes 3.2/min
+60% (2.0/min) expected+16% (2.7/min) usual+10% (2.9/min) style
Takedowns 1.6/15 min
−3.7 (5.3/15 min) expected−0.6 (2.3/15 min) usual−0.2 (1.8/15 min) style
Control 17%
−51 pts (68%) expected−35 pts (52%) usual−9 pts (26%) style
Knockdowns 0
(0.6/fight) usual(0.2/fight) style
| Stat | This fight | vs expected | vs usual | vs Bantamweight grapplers |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sig. strikes | 3.2/min | +60% (2.0/min) | +16% (2.7/min) | +10% (2.9/min) |
| Takedowns | 1.6/15 min | −3.7 (5.3/15 min) | −0.6 (2.3/15 min) | −0.2 (1.8/15 min) |
| Control | 17% | −51 pts (68%) | −35 pts (52%) | −9 pts (26%) |
| Knockdowns | 0 | — | (0.6/fight) | (0.2/fight) |
Paces per minute fought. Expected is our pre-fight prediction; usual is the fighter's UFC pace before this fight.