vsTheodor Berggren
Click a fighter’s name to see their full stats as captured before the event.
Cage Metrics prediction
Our model’s read on this fight, captured before the event.
- Win
- Loss
- Draw / no contest
Cage Rating · going into each UFC fight
CM P4P rank · #1 at the top
Predicted Winner
Theodor Berggren
53.1%
over Rodrigo Sezinando (46.9%)
Sezinando
- •Moderate striking advantage
- •Moderate form advantage
- •Ring rust (14 months layoff)
Berggren
- •Moderate physical advantage
Underdog Bouts
| Opponent | Date | Pred% | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Daniil Donchenko | Jun 26 | 38.8% | L |
Adjustments Applied
- Rodrigo Sezinando: limited fight data (50% reliability)
- Theodor Berggren: limited fight data (50% reliability)
Rodrigo Sezinando (positive) vs Theodor Berggren (negative)
moderate — Rodrigo Sezinando out-strikes opponents by -29.0/fight; Theodor Berggren has 36% striking accuracy; Rodrigo Sezinando KD differential: -1.00/fight; Theodor Berggren expected 13 vs Rodrigo Sezinando's 4 sig strikes
even — Grappling metrics are similar
even — Cardio metrics are similar
moderate — Rodrigo Sezinando has 20% win rate (SoS-adj)
moderate — Theodor Berggren is 5cm taller; Theodor Berggren has 10cm reach advantage; Theodor Berggren is a switch-stance fighter
How tough the opponents were, and how each fighter did against them
Rodrigo Sezinando
Performance
Record: 0W-1L · Adj WR: 0.0%
Avg Bout Quality: 39.5
Theodor Berggren
Opposition
Performance
Record: 0W-1L · Adj WR: 0.0%
Avg Bout Quality: 30.5
Rodrigo Sezinando
Theodor Berggren
Per-metric comparison across all scoring categories
| Metric | Rodrigo Sezinando | Theodor Berggren |
|---|---|---|
| Sig Strikes Diff/Fight | -29.0 | -48.0 |
| Striking Accuracy | 27.8% | 35.9% |
| Striking Defense | 42.6% | — |
| KD Diff/Fight | -1.0 | -2.0 |
| Avg Knockdowns | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Metric | Rodrigo Sezinando | Theodor Berggren |
|---|---|---|
| TD Diff/Fight | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Takedown Accuracy | 25.0% | — |
| Takedown Defense | 66.7% | — |
| Ctrl Time Diff/Fight | -0:01 | -0:10 |
| Avg Sub Attempts | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Metric | Rodrigo Sezinando | Theodor Berggren |
|---|---|---|
| R1 Avg Sig Strikes | 10.0 | 17.0 |
| R3 Avg Sig Strikes | — | — |
| Output Change R1→R3 | — | — |
| Metric | Rodrigo Sezinando | Theodor Berggren |
|---|---|---|
| Win Rate | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Recent Record (L5) | 0W-1L | 0W-1L |
| Age | 28 | 26 |
| Metric | Rodrigo Sezinando | Theodor Berggren |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 28 | 26 |
| Height | 175 cm | 180 cm |
| Reach | 180 cm | 190 cm |
| Stance | Orthodox | Switch |
| SoS Score | 47.5 | 46.7 |
| Avg Opp Strength | 40.0 | 57.3 |
Most likely finish: Round 2
Model v2.5