vs

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. BradySnapshot captured Oct 30, 20263 roundsmodel v2.5

Click a fighter’s name to see their full stats as captured before the event.

Cage Metrics prediction

Our model’s read on this fight, captured before the event.

Two of the UFC's top-5 Women's Strawweight fighters meet.

UFC top-5 clash
Virna Jandiroba (#2) and Tatiana Suarez (#3) are both in the UFC's Women's Strawweight top 5.
Significant striking edge: Tatiana Suarez
Tatiana Suarez out-strikes Virna Jandiroba.
Significant size edge: Tatiana Suarez
Tatiana Suarez has the physical edge.
Tougher recent opposition: Tatiana Suarez
Tatiana Suarez has faced tougher opponents lately, including Zhang Weili and Jessica Andrade.

Career progression

Win
Loss
Draw / no contest

Cage Rating · going into each UFC fight

CM P4P rank · #1 at the top

Virna Jandiroba

WrestlerMid

Ht 5'3" (160 cm)Reach 64" (163 cm)Orthodox

Record

9-4-0

Age

Last 5

4-1

Finish Rate

0.0%

Dominance Score59.9 / 100

Strength Score57.7(Average)

Action Score47.3(Moderate)

Win Rate69.2%

Sig Strikes Diff-8 / fight

Finish Rate0.0%

Hype Score17.5 / 100(1 main event, 6 PPVs)

Tatiana Suarez

WrestlerElite

Ht 5'5" (165 cm)Reach 66" (168 cm)Southpaw

Record

9-1-0

Age

Last 5

4-1

Finish Rate

10.0%

Dominance Score67.2 / 100

Strength Score59.9(Average)

Action Score37.3(Low Action)

Win Rate90.0%

Sig Strikes Diff+14 / fight

Finish Rate10.0%

Hype Score22.6 / 100(4 PPVs)

Predicted Winner

Tatiana Suarez

66.3%

high confidence

over Virna Jandiroba (33.7%)

Key Factors

•Tatiana Suarez (Elite) vs Virna Jandiroba (Mid)

Jandiroba

•2-1 vs Wrestlers

Suarez

•Significant striking advantage
•Significant physical advantage
•Significant form advantage

Category Advantages

Virna Jandiroba (positive) vs Tatiana Suarez (negative)

StrikingSuarez +5.7

significant — Tatiana Suarez out-strikes opponents by +13.9/fight; Tatiana Suarez has 60% striking accuracy

StrikingSuarez +5.7significant — Tatiana Suarez out-strikes opponents by +13.9/fight; Tatiana Suarez has 60% striking accuracy

GrapplingSuarez +0.3

even — Tatiana Suarez TD differential: +3.1/fight; Tatiana Suarez controls opponents +323s/fight; Virna Jandiroba averages 1.2 sub attempts/fight; Tatiana Suarez averages 0.5 sub attempts/fight

GrapplingSuarez +0.3even — Tatiana Suarez TD differential: +3.1/fight; Tatiana Suarez controls opponents +323s/fight; Virna Jandiroba averages 1.2 sub attempts/fight; Tatiana Suarez averages 0.5 sub attempts/fight

CardioSuarez +3.2

moderate — Tatiana Suarez increases output R1→R3 (+58%)

CardioSuarez +3.2moderate — Tatiana Suarez increases output R1→R3 (+58%)

FormSuarez +4.5

significant — Tatiana Suarez has 84% win rate (SoS-adj)

FormSuarez +4.5significant — Tatiana Suarez has 84% win rate (SoS-adj)

PhysicalSuarez +5.4

significant — Tatiana Suarez is 5cm taller; Tatiana Suarez has 5cm reach advantage; Virna Jandiroba is 38 (potential age decline); Tatiana Suarez southpaw vs orthodox

PhysicalSuarez +5.4significant — Tatiana Suarez is 5cm taller; Tatiana Suarez has 5cm reach advantage; Virna Jandiroba is 38 (potential age decline); Tatiana Suarez southpaw vs orthodox

Last 5 Fights

How tough the opponents were, and how each fighter did against them

Virna Jandiroba

Opposition

48.8Averageavg opponent strength

Performance

62.6Strong Recent

Record: 4W-1L · Adj WR: 80.0%

Avg Bout Quality: 53.4

Tatiana Suarez

Opposition

51.0Strongavg opponent strength

Performance

66.7Strong Recent

Record: 4W-1L · Adj WR: 89.6%

Avg Bout Quality: 52.1

Recent Opponents (Last 5)

Virna Jandiroba

WTabatha Ricci

MidUnimpressive Windom: 54.5

WTabatha RicciMidUnimpressive Windom: 54.5

LMackenzie Dern

MidUnlucky Lossdom: 45.1

LMackenzie DernMidUnlucky Lossdom: 45.1

WYan Xiaonan

MidStandard Windom: 44.8

WYan XiaonanMidStandard Windom: 44.8

WAmanda Lemos

MidGood Windom: 50.4

WAmanda LemosMidGood Windom: 50.4

WLoopy Godinez

MidUnimpressive Windom: 58.1

WLoopy GodinezMidUnimpressive Windom: 58.1

Tatiana Suarez

WLoopy Godinez

MidGood Windom: 53.1

WLoopy GodinezMidGood Windom: 53.1

WAmanda Lemos

MidUnimpressive Windom: 46.7

WAmanda LemosMidUnimpressive Windom: 46.7

LZhang Weili

EliteUnderstandable Lossdom: 67.7

LZhang WeiliEliteUnderstandable Lossdom: 67.7

WJessica Andrade

EliteGood Windom: 50.7

WJessica AndradeEliteGood Windom: 50.7

WMontana De La Rosa

MidGood Windom: 49.1

WMontana De La RosaMidGood Windom: 49.1

Category Breakdown

Per-metric comparison across all scoring categories

StrikingSuarez +5.7

Metric	Virna Jandiroba	Tatiana Suarez
Sig Strikes Diff/Fight	-7.8	13.9
Striking Accuracy	41.3%	60.1%
Striking Defense	55.6%	45.4%
KD Diff/Fight	0.1	0.0
Avg Knockdowns	0.1	0.0

GrapplingSuarez +0.3

Metric	Virna Jandiroba	Tatiana Suarez
TD Diff/Fight	2.1	3.1
Takedown Accuracy	39.1%	45.9%
Takedown Defense	72.7%	57.1%
Ctrl Time Diff/Fight	4:04	5:23
Avg Sub Attempts	1.2	0.5

CardioSuarez +3.2

Metric	Virna Jandiroba	Tatiana Suarez
R1 Avg Sig Strikes	8.8	13.0
R3 Avg Sig Strikes	12.9	20.6
Output Change R1→R3	+45.7%	+58.5%

FormSuarez +4.5

Metric	Virna Jandiroba	Tatiana Suarez
Win Rate	69.2%	90.0%
Recent Record (L5)	4W-1L	4W-1L
Age	38	35

Physical & SoSSuarez +5.4

Metric	Virna Jandiroba	Tatiana Suarez
Age	38	35
Height	160 cm	165 cm
Reach	163 cm	168 cm
Stance	Orthodox	Southpaw
SoS Score	57.7	59.9
Avg Opp Strength	49.2	52.8

Method Probability

KO/TKO11.1%

Jandiroba: 3.7%Suarez: 7.4%

Submission23.9%

Jandiroba: 5.6%Suarez: 18.3%

Decision65.0%

Jandiroba: 21.9%Suarez: 43.1%

Model v2.5

Virna JandirobavsTatiana Suarez

Cage Metrics prediction

Virna Jandiroba

Tatiana Suarez

Virna Jandiroba

Tatiana Suarez

Virna Jandiroba

Tatiana Suarez

vs