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Click a fighter’s name to see their full stats as captured before the event.
Cage Metrics prediction
Our model’s read on this fight, captured before the event.
Two of the UFC's top-10 Welterweight fighters meet.
UFC top-10 clash
Gabriel Bonfim (#6) and Sean Brady (#5) are both in the UFC's Welterweight top 10.
Significant grappling edge: Sean Brady
Sean Brady out-grapples Gabriel Bonfim.
Significant cardio edge: Gabriel Bonfim
Gabriel Bonfim keeps the better pace late in fights.
On a hot streak
Gabriel Bonfim is on a win streak.
Both on the rise
Gabriel Bonfim and Sean Brady are both climbing.
- Win
- Loss
- Draw / no contest
Cage Rating · going into each UFC fight
CM P4P rank · #1 at the top
Gabriel Bonfim
Record
7-1-0
Age
29
Last 5
5-0
Finish Rate
25.0%
Sean Brady
Record
9-2-0
Age
33
Last 5
4-1
Finish Rate
18.2%
Predicted Winner
Sean Brady
55.9%
over Gabriel Bonfim (44.1%)
- •Sean Brady (Wrestler) vs Gabriel Bonfim (Kicker): Wrestlers have won 62% of these matchups
Bonfim
- •Significant cardio advantage
- •Significant form advantage
- •5-fight win streak (2 by finish)
- •4 years younger (29 vs 33)
Brady
- •Significant grappling advantage
Gabriel Bonfim (positive) vs Sean Brady (negative)
significant — Sean Brady out-strikes opponents by +17.5/fight; Sean Brady has 53% striking accuracy
significant — Sean Brady TD differential: +3.0/fight; Sean Brady controls opponents +347s/fight; Gabriel Bonfim averages 0.6 sub attempts/fight; Sean Brady averages 0.7 sub attempts/fight
significant — Gabriel Bonfim increases output R1→R3 (+63%)
significant — Gabriel Bonfim is 4 years younger (29 vs 33)
moderate — Gabriel Bonfim is 7cm taller
How tough the opponents were, and how each fighter did against them
Gabriel Bonfim
Opposition
Performance
Record: 5W-0L · Adj WR: 100.0%
Avg Bout Quality: 44.7
Sean Brady
Opposition
Performance
Record: 4W-1L · Adj WR: 89.6%
Avg Bout Quality: 50.4
Gabriel Bonfim
Sean Brady
Per-metric comparison across all scoring categories
| Metric | Gabriel Bonfim | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Sig Strikes Diff/Fight | 11.8 | 17.5 |
| Striking Accuracy | 47.7% | 53.2% |
| Striking Defense | 62.0% | 59.1% |
| KD Diff/Fight | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Avg Knockdowns | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Metric | Gabriel Bonfim | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| TD Diff/Fight | 1.3 | 3.0 |
| Takedown Accuracy | 51.9% | 51.5% |
| Takedown Defense | 78.9% | 86.7% |
| Ctrl Time Diff/Fight | 0:52 | 5:47 |
| Avg Sub Attempts | 0.6 | 0.7 |
| Metric | Gabriel Bonfim | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| R1 Avg Sig Strikes | 15.5 | 20.6 |
| R3 Avg Sig Strikes | 25.3 | 16.4 |
| Output Change R1→R3 | +63.4% | -20.6% |
| Metric | Gabriel Bonfim | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Win Rate | 87.5% | 81.8% |
| Recent Record (L5) | 5W-0L | 4W-1L |
| Age | 29 | 33 |
| Metric | Gabriel Bonfim | Sean Brady |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 29 | 33 |
| Height | 185 cm | 178 cm |
| Reach | 183 cm | 183 cm |
| Stance | Orthodox | Orthodox |
| SoS Score | 59.4 | 58.5 |
| Avg Opp Strength | 52.4 | 53.8 |
Model v2.5