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UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. BradySnapshot captured Oct 30, 20263 roundsmodel v2.5

Click a fighter’s name to see their full stats as captured before the event.

Cage Metrics prediction

Our model’s read on this fight, captured before the event.

Seokhyeon Ko holds a dominant grappling edge.

Dominant grappling edge: Seokhyeon Ko
Seokhyeon Ko out-grapples Wellington Turman.
Long layoff
Wellington Turman returns after a long layoff.
Must-win fight
Wellington Turman is on a losing run.
Tougher recent opposition: Seokhyeon Ko
Seokhyeon Ko has faced tougher opponents lately, including Oban Elliott and Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani.
On the rise
Seokhyeon Ko is climbing fast.

Career progression

Win
Loss
Draw / no contest

Cage Rating · going into each UFC fight

CM P4P rank · #1 at the top

Seokhyeon Ko

WrestlerMid

Ht 5'10" (178 cm)Reach 71" (180 cm)Southpaw

Record

2-1-0

Age

Last 5

2-1

Finish Rate

0.0%

Dominance Score54.1 / 100

Strength Score51.3(Average)

Action Score47.4(Moderate)

Win Rate66.7%

Sig Strikes Diff+23 / fight

Finish Rate0.0%

Hype Score8.1 / 100

Wellington Turman

StrikerMid

Ht 6'0" (183 cm)Reach 72" (183 cm)Orthodox

Record

3-6-0

Age

Last 5

2-3

Finish Rate

22.2%

Dominance Score29.2 / 100

Strength Score33.7(Weak)

Action Score62.2(Action-Packed)

Win Rate33.3%

Sig Strikes Diff-10 / fight

Finish Rate22.2%

Hype Score4.7 / 100(1 PPV)

Predicted Winner

Seokhyeon Ko

80.0%

medium confidence

over Wellington Turman (20.0%)

Key Factors

•Seokhyeon Ko (Wrestler) vs Wellington Turman (Striker): Wrestlers have won 60% of these matchups

•Dominant grappling advantage
•Dominant striking advantage
•Moderate form advantage

Underdog Bouts

Opponent	Date	Pred%	Result
Oban Elliott	Jun 25	33.3%	W

Turman

•Extreme ring rust (2.9 years layoff)

Adjustments Applied

Seokhyeon Ko: limited fight data (65% reliability)

Category Advantages

Seokhyeon Ko (positive) vs Wellington Turman (negative)

StrikingKo +7.9

dominant — Seokhyeon Ko out-strikes opponents by +23.0/fight; Seokhyeon Ko KD differential: +0.00/fight; Seokhyeon Ko expected 25 vs Wellington Turman's 13 sig strikes

StrikingKo +7.9dominant — Seokhyeon Ko out-strikes opponents by +23.0/fight; Seokhyeon Ko KD differential: +0.00/fight; Seokhyeon Ko expected 25 vs Wellington Turman's 13 sig strikes

GrapplingKo +8.0

dominant — Seokhyeon Ko TD differential: +2.3/fight; Seokhyeon Ko expected 1.9 TDs vs Wellington Turman's 43% TD def; Seokhyeon Ko controls opponents +424s/fight; Seokhyeon Ko averages 0.3 sub attempts/fight; Wellington Turman averages 0.6 sub attempts/fight

GrapplingKo +8.0dominant — Seokhyeon Ko TD differential: +2.3/fight; Seokhyeon Ko expected 1.9 TDs vs Wellington Turman's 43% TD def; Seokhyeon Ko controls opponents +424s/fight; Seokhyeon Ko averages 0.3 sub attempts/fight; Wellington Turman averages 0.6 sub attempts/fight

CardioKo +1.2

slight — Cardio metrics are similar

CardioKo +1.2slight — Cardio metrics are similar

FormKo +3.5

moderate — Seokhyeon Ko has 64% win rate (SoS-adj)

FormKo +3.5moderate — Seokhyeon Ko has 64% win rate (SoS-adj)

PhysicalTurman +1.9

slight — Wellington Turman is 5cm taller; Seokhyeon Ko southpaw vs orthodox

PhysicalTurman +1.9slight — Wellington Turman is 5cm taller; Seokhyeon Ko southpaw vs orthodox

Last 5 Fights

How tough the opponents were, and how each fighter did against them

Seokhyeon Ko

Opposition

48.2Averageavg opponent strength

Performance

55.3Average Recent

Record: 2W-1L · Adj WR: 60.6%

Avg Bout Quality: 55.2

Wellington Turman

Opposition

42.1Softavg opponent strength

Performance

45.4Average Recent

Record: 2W-3L · Adj WR: 40.0%

Avg Bout Quality: 56.0

Recent Opponents (Last 5)

Seokhyeon Ko

LJean-Paul Lebosnoyani

LowUnlucky Lossdom: 52.4

LJean-Paul LebosnoyaniLowUnlucky Lossdom: 52.4

WPhil Rowe

MidStandard Windom: 48.0

WPhil RoweMidStandard Windom: 48.0

WOban Elliott

MidStandard Windom: 59.2

WOban ElliottMidStandard Windom: 59.2

Wellington Turman

LJared Gooden

MidUnderstandable Lossdom: 34.3

LJared GoodenMidUnderstandable Lossdom: 34.3

LRandy Brown

MidUnlucky Lossdom: 48.8

LRandy BrownMidUnlucky Lossdom: 48.8

LAndre Petroski

MidUnlucky Lossdom: 60.0

LAndre PetroskiMidUnlucky Lossdom: 60.0

WMisha Cirkunov

MidGood Windom: 37.7

WMisha CirkunovMidGood Windom: 37.7

WSam Alvey

MidUnimpressive Windom: 33.3

WSam AlveyMidUnimpressive Windom: 33.3

Category Breakdown

Per-metric comparison across all scoring categories

StrikingKo +7.9

Metric	Seokhyeon Ko	Wellington Turman
Sig Strikes Diff/Fight	23.0	-10.1
Striking Accuracy	49.8%	51.2%
Striking Defense	63.2%	45.2%
KD Diff/Fight	0.0	-0.1
Avg Knockdowns	0.0	0.0

GrapplingKo +8.0

Metric	Seokhyeon Ko	Wellington Turman
TD Diff/Fight	2.3	-0.2
Takedown Accuracy	58.8%	20.8%
Takedown Defense	50.0%	42.9%
Ctrl Time Diff/Fight	7:04	0:12
Avg Sub Attempts	0.3	0.6

CardioKo +1.2

Metric	Seokhyeon Ko	Wellington Turman
R1 Avg Sig Strikes	15.3	15.8
R3 Avg Sig Strikes	15.3	15.0
Output Change R1→R3	0.0%	-4.9%

FormKo +3.5

Metric	Seokhyeon Ko	Wellington Turman
Win Rate	66.7%	33.3%
Recent Record (L5)	2W-1L	2W-3L
Age	33	30

Physical & SoSTurman +1.9

Metric	Seokhyeon Ko	Wellington Turman
Age	33	30
Height	178 cm	183 cm
Reach	180 cm	183 cm
Stance	Southpaw	Orthodox
SoS Score	51.3	33.7
Avg Opp Strength	53.2	46.3

Method Probability

KO/TKO21.4%

Ko: 17.1%Turman: 4.3%

Submission13.6%

Ko: 9.6%Turman: 4.0%

Decision65.0%

Ko: 52.0%Turman: 13.0%

Model v2.5

Seokhyeon KovsWellington Turman

Cage Metrics prediction

Seokhyeon Ko

Wellington Turman

Seokhyeon Ko

Wellington Turman

Seokhyeon Ko

Wellington Turman

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