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vsNina Milosevic

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. BradySnapshot captured Oct 30, 20263 roundsmodel v2.5

Click a fighter’s name to see their full stats as captured before the event.

Cage Metrics prediction

Our model’s read on this fight, captured before the event.

Nina Milosevic holds a dominant striking edge.

  • Dominant striking edge: Nina Milosevic

    Nina Milosevic out-strikes Priscila Cachoeira.

  • Significant cardio edge: Priscila Cachoeira

    Priscila Cachoeira keeps the better pace late in fights.

  • Experience gap

    Priscila Cachoeira has far more UFC experience than Nina Milosevic.

  • Age gap

    Nina Milosevic is much younger than Priscila Cachoeira.

  • Potential decline

    Priscila Cachoeira is in potential decline.

Career progression
  • Win
  • Loss
  • Draw / no contest

Cage Rating · going into each UFC fight

CM P4P rank · #1 at the top

Predicted Winner

Nina Milosevic

84.1%

medium confidence

over Priscila Cachoeira (15.9%)

Key Factors

Cachoeira

  • •Significant cardio advantage
  • •4-4 vs Strikers
  • •1 upset win from 4 underdog bouts (beating-the-odds bonus applied)

Underdog Bouts

OpponentDatePred%Result
Chelsea ChandlerJun 2635.4%L
Klaudia SygulaFeb 2622.6%L
Joselyne EdwardsAug 2526.2%L
Josiane NunesMar 2517.0%W

Milosevic

  • •Dominant striking advantage
  • •Dominant form advantage
  • •8 years younger (30 vs 38)

Adjustments Applied

  • Priscila Cachoeira: in decline (38, 3 straight losses)
  • Nina Milosevic: limited fight data (50% reliability)
Category Advantages

Priscila Cachoeira (positive) vs Nina Milosevic (negative)

StrikingMilosevic +10.0

dominant — Nina Milosevic out-strikes opponents by +8.0/fight; Nina Milosevic has 54% striking accuracy; Nina Milosevic KD differential: +1.00/fight; Priscila Cachoeira expected 17 vs Nina Milosevic's 11 sig strikes

GrapplingMilosevic +4.0

moderate — Nina Milosevic controls opponents +0s/fight

CardioCachoeira +5.0

significant — Priscila Cachoeira increases output R1→R3 (+75%)

FormMilosevic +9.6

dominant — Nina Milosevic has 80% win rate (SoS-adj); Nina Milosevic on better recent form (1-0 L5); Priscila Cachoeira is 38 (8 years older)

PhysicalMilosevic +3.4

moderate — Priscila Cachoeira is 5cm taller; Nina Milosevic has 5cm reach advantage; Nina Milosevic is younger (30 vs 38); Priscila Cachoeira is 38 (potential age decline)

Last 5 Fights

How tough the opponents were, and how each fighter did against them

Priscila Cachoeira

Opposition

41.4Softavg opponent strength

Performance

33.1Below Average

Record: 1W-4L · Adj WR: 18.9%

Avg Bout Quality: 43.8

Nina Milosevic

Opposition

41.4avg opponent strength

Performance

70.1Strong Recent

Record: 1W-0L · Adj WR: 100.0%

Avg Bout Quality: 59.0

Recent Opponents (Last 5)

Priscila Cachoeira

MidUnderstandable Lossdom: 41.4
LowUnderstandable Lossdom: 47.3
MidUnderstandable Lossdom: 46.3
MidGood Windom: 45.2
MidBad Lossdom: 48.3

Nina Milosevic

MidGood Windom: 41.2
Category Breakdown

Per-metric comparison across all scoring categories

StrikingMilosevic +10.0

MetricPriscila CachoeiraNina Milosevic
Sig Strikes Diff/Fight-26.98.0
Striking Accuracy44.4%53.8%
Striking Defense45.8%—
KD Diff/Fight-0.11.0
Avg Knockdowns0.21.0
GrapplingMilosevic +4.0

MetricPriscila CachoeiraNina Milosevic
TD Diff/Fight-0.80.0
Takedown Accuracy50.0%—
Takedown Defense69.6%100.0%
Ctrl Time Diff/Fight-2:570:00
Avg Sub Attempts0.00.0
CardioCachoeira +5.0

MetricPriscila CachoeiraNina Milosevic
R1 Avg Sig Strikes15.621.0
R3 Avg Sig Strikes27.3—
Output Change R1→R3+74.7%—
FormMilosevic +9.6

MetricPriscila CachoeiraNina Milosevic
Win Rate35.7%100.0%
Recent Record (L5)1W-4L1W-0L
Age3830
Physical & SoSMilosevic +3.4

MetricPriscila CachoeiraNina Milosevic
Age3830
Height170 cm165 cm
Reach165 cm170 cm
StanceOrthodoxOrthodox
SoS Score28.349.6
Avg Opp Strength44.341.2
Method Probability

Most likely finish: Round 1

KO/TKO31.8%
Cachoeira: 4.2%Milosevic: 27.6%
Submission16.1%
Cachoeira: 2.6%Milosevic: 13.5%
Decision52.1%
Cachoeira: 8.3%Milosevic: 43.8%

Model v2.5