vs
Click a fighter’s name to see their full stats as captured before the event.
Cage Metrics prediction
Our model’s read on this fight, captured before the event.
A rising prospect takes on an experienced veteran.
Prospect vs veteran
Rising prospect Mantas Kondratavicius meets veteran Andre Petroski.
Must-win fight
Andre Petroski is on a losing run.
Significant cardio edge: Andre Petroski
Andre Petroski keeps the better pace late in fights.
Significant striking edge: Mantas Kondratavicius
Mantas Kondratavicius out-strikes Andre Petroski.
Potential decline
Andre Petroski is showing signs of decline.
- Win
- Loss
- Draw / no contest
Cage Rating · going into each UFC fight
CM P4P rank · #1 at the top
Mantas Kondratavicius
Record
1-0-0
Age
27
Last 5
1-0
Finish Rate
0.0%
Andre Petroski
Record
8-5-0
Age
35
Last 5
2-3
Finish Rate
38.5%
Predicted Winner
Mantas Kondratavicius
72.3%
over Andre Petroski (27.7%)
- •Andre Petroski (Mid) vs Mantas Kondratavicius (Low)
Kondratavicius
- •Significant form advantage
- •Significant striking advantage
- •8 years younger (27 vs 35)
Petroski
- •Significant cardio advantage
- •2-1 vs Grapplers
Adjustments Applied
- Andre Petroski: in decline (35, 3 straight losses)
- Mantas Kondratavicius: limited fight data (50% reliability)
Mantas Kondratavicius (positive) vs Andre Petroski (negative)
significant — Mantas Kondratavicius out-strikes opponents by +58.0/fight; Mantas Kondratavicius has 70% striking accuracy; Mantas Kondratavicius KD differential: +1.00/fight; Mantas Kondratavicius expected 35 vs Andre Petroski's 13 sig strikes
moderate — Andre Petroski controls opponents +206s/fight; Mantas Kondratavicius averages 1.0 sub attempts/fight; Andre Petroski averages 0.8 sub attempts/fight
significant — Andre Petroski increases output R1→R3 (+11%)
significant — Mantas Kondratavicius has 80% win rate (SoS-adj); Mantas Kondratavicius on better recent form (1-0 L5); Andre Petroski is 35 (8 years older); Andre Petroski faced tougher opposition (SoS gap: 8.3, 57% effective)
slight — Mantas Kondratavicius is 5cm taller; Mantas Kondratavicius has 5cm reach advantage; Mantas Kondratavicius is younger (27 vs 35); Andre Petroski is a switch-stance fighter
How tough the opponents were, and how each fighter did against them
Mantas Kondratavicius
Opposition
Performance
Record: 1W-0L · Adj WR: 100.0%
Avg Bout Quality: 32.2
Andre Petroski
Opposition
Performance
Record: 2W-3L · Adj WR: 34.0%
Avg Bout Quality: 40.3
Mantas Kondratavicius
Andre Petroski
Per-metric comparison across all scoring categories
| Metric | Mantas Kondratavicius | Andre Petroski |
|---|---|---|
| Sig Strikes Diff/Fight | 58.0 | -2.5 |
| Striking Accuracy | 70.1% | 49.2% |
| Striking Defense | — | 53.3% |
| KD Diff/Fight | 1.0 | -0.2 |
| Avg Knockdowns | 1.0 | 0.1 |
| Metric | Mantas Kondratavicius | Andre Petroski |
|---|---|---|
| TD Diff/Fight | 1.0 | 1.9 |
| Takedown Accuracy | 50.0% | 52.8% |
| Takedown Defense | 91.7% | 86.4% |
| Ctrl Time Diff/Fight | 1:03 | 3:26 |
| Avg Sub Attempts | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Metric | Mantas Kondratavicius | Andre Petroski |
|---|---|---|
| R1 Avg Sig Strikes | 28.0 | 11.4 |
| R3 Avg Sig Strikes | 8.0 | 12.6 |
| Output Change R1→R3 | -71.4% | +10.9% |
| Metric | Mantas Kondratavicius | Andre Petroski |
|---|---|---|
| Win Rate | 100.0% | 61.5% |
| Recent Record (L5) | 1W-0L | 2W-3L |
| Age | 27 | 35 |
| Metric | Mantas Kondratavicius | Andre Petroski |
|---|---|---|
| Age | 27 | 35 |
| Height | 188 cm | 183 cm |
| Reach | 190 cm | 185 cm |
| Stance | Orthodox | Switch |
| SoS Score | 49.0 | 37.2 |
| Avg Opp Strength | 37.9 | 46.2 |
Model v2.5