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UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. BradySnapshot captured Oct 30, 20263 roundsmodel v2.5

Click a fighter’s name to see their full stats as captured before the event.

Cage Metrics prediction

Our model’s read on this fight, captured before the event.

Murtazali Magomedov holds a significant grappling edge.

  • Significant grappling edge: Murtazali Magomedov

    Murtazali Magomedov out-grapples Jose Delano.

  • Significant cardio edge: Jose Delano

    Jose Delano keeps the better pace late in fights.

Career progression
  • Win
  • Loss
  • Draw / no contest

Cage Rating · going into each UFC fight

CM P4P rank · #1 at the top

Jose Delano

StrikerLow
Ht 5'8" (173 cm)Reach 70" (178 cm)Orthodox

Record

1-0-0

Age

30

Last 5

1-0

Finish Rate

0.0%

Dominance Score51.7 / 100
Strength Score50.6(Average)
Action Score53.3(Moderate)
Win Rate100.0%
Sig Strikes Diff+40 / fight
Finish Rate0.0%
Hype Score—

Murtazali Magomedov

ProspectGrapplerLow
Ht 5'9" (175 cm)Reach 70" (178 cm)Orthodox

Record

1-0-0

Age

27

Last 5

1-0

Finish Rate

0.0%

Dominance Score53.9 / 100
Strength Score50.4(Average)
Action Score46.6(Moderate)
Win Rate100.0%
Sig Strikes Diff+2 / fight
Finish Rate0.0%
Hype Score—

Predicted Winner

Murtazali Magomedov

55.8%

low confidence

over Jose Delano (44.2%)

Key Factors

Delano

  • •Significant striking advantage
  • •Significant cardio advantage

Magomedov

  • •Significant grappling advantage

Adjustments Applied

  • Jose Delano: limited fight data (50% reliability)
  • Murtazali Magomedov: limited fight data (50% reliability)
Category Advantages

Jose Delano (positive) vs Murtazali Magomedov (negative)

StrikingDelano +5.2

significant — Jose Delano out-strikes opponents by +40.0/fight; Murtazali Magomedov has 71% striking accuracy; Jose Delano expected 48 vs Murtazali Magomedov's 2 sig strikes

GrapplingMagomedov +5.5

significant — Murtazali Magomedov TD differential: +1.0/fight; Murtazali Magomedov controls opponents +27s/fight; Murtazali Magomedov averages 1.0 sub attempts/fight

CardioDelano +5.0

significant — Jose Delano increases output R1→R3 (+100%)

FormMagomedov +1.1

slight — Form is similar

PhysicalDelano +0.6

slight — Physical attributes are similar

Last 5 Fights

How tough the opponents were, and how each fighter did against them

Jose Delano

Opposition

48.1avg opponent strength

Performance

63.6Strong Recent

Record: 1W-0L · Adj WR: 100.0%

Avg Bout Quality: 30.5

Murtazali Magomedov

Opposition

42.8avg opponent strength

Performance

70.5Strong Recent

Record: 1W-0L · Adj WR: 100.0%

Avg Bout Quality: 58.9

Recent Opponents (Last 5)

Jose Delano

WRobert Ruchala
LowUnimpressive Windom: 46.7

Murtazali Magomedov

WMelsik Baghdasaryan
MidGood Windom: 45.4
Category Breakdown

Per-metric comparison across all scoring categories

StrikingDelano +5.2

MetricJose DelanoMurtazali Magomedov
Sig Strikes Diff/Fight40.02.0
Striking Accuracy62.2%71.4%
Striking Defense——
KD Diff/Fight0.00.0
Avg Knockdowns0.00.0
GrapplingMagomedov +5.5

MetricJose DelanoMurtazali Magomedov
TD Diff/Fight0.01.0
Takedown Accuracy0.0%50.0%
Takedown Defense100.0%—
Ctrl Time Diff/Fight-0:300:27
Avg Sub Attempts0.01.0
CardioDelano +5.0

MetricJose DelanoMurtazali Magomedov
R1 Avg Sig Strikes21.05.0
R3 Avg Sig Strikes42.0—
Output Change R1→R3+100.0%—
FormMagomedov +1.1

MetricJose DelanoMurtazali Magomedov
Win Rate100.0%100.0%
Recent Record (L5)1W-0L1W-0L
Age3027
Physical & SoSDelano +0.6

MetricJose DelanoMurtazali Magomedov
Age3027
Height173 cm175 cm
Reach178 cm178 cm
StanceOrthodoxOrthodox
SoS Score50.650.4
Avg Opp Strength46.745.4
Method Probability

Most likely finish: Round 1

KO/TKO27.0%
Delano: 12.0%Magomedov: 15.1%
Submission21.2%
Delano: 2.9%Magomedov: 18.3%
Decision51.8%
Delano: 22.9%Magomedov: 28.9%

Model v2.5