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UFC 332: Silva vs. WangSnapshot captured Sep 28, 20263 roundsmodel v2.1

Click a fighter’s name to see their full stats as captured before the event.

Cage Metrics prediction

Our model’s read on this fight, captured before the event.

Benardo Sopaj holds a significant grappling edge.

  • Significant grappling edge: Benardo Sopaj

    Benardo Sopaj out-grapples Marcus McGhee.

  • Significant cardio edge: Benardo Sopaj

    Benardo Sopaj keeps the better pace late in fights.

  • Both on the rise

    Marcus McGhee and Benardo Sopaj are both climbing fast.

  • Age gap

    Benardo Sopaj is much younger than Marcus McGhee.

Career progression
  • Win
  • Loss
  • Draw / no contest

Cage Rating · going into each UFC fight

CM P4P rank · #1 at the top

Marcus McGhee

StrikerElite
Age 36Ht 5'8"Reach 69"Orthodox

Record

5-1-0

Last 5

4-1

Finish Rate

33.3%

Dominance Score60.0 / 100
Strength Score52.8(Average)
Action Score67.1(Action-Packed)
Win Rate83.3%
Sig Strikes Diff+19 / fight
Finish Rate33.3%
Hype Score14.6 / 100(1 PPV)

Benardo Sopaj

BalancedMid
Age 26Ht 5'6"Reach 66"Orthodox

Record

2-1-0

Last 5

2-1

Finish Rate

33.3%

Dominance Score54.0 / 100
Strength Score45.9(Average)
Action Score69.6(Action-Packed)
Win Rate66.7%
Sig Strikes Diff-4 / fight
Finish Rate33.3%
Hype Score20.4 / 100(1 PPV)

Predicted Winner

Marcus McGhee

54.6%

low confidence

over Benardo Sopaj (45.4%)

Key Factors
  • •Marcus McGhee (Elite) vs Benardo Sopaj (Mid)

McGhee

  • •Significant striking advantage

Sopaj

  • •Significant grappling advantage
  • •Significant cardio advantage

Adjustments Applied

  • Benardo Sopaj: limited fight data (65% reliability)
Category Advantages

Marcus McGhee (positive) vs Benardo Sopaj (negative)

StrikingMcGhee +5.9

significant — Marcus McGhee out-strikes opponents by +18.8/fight; Benardo Sopaj has 58% striking accuracy; Marcus McGhee KD differential: +0.50/fight; Marcus McGhee expected 29 vs Benardo Sopaj's 23 sig strikes

GrapplingSopaj +5.8

significant — Benardo Sopaj TD differential: +1.0/fight; Benardo Sopaj controls opponents +103s/fight; Benardo Sopaj averages 0.7 sub attempts/fight

CardioSopaj +5.0

significant — Benardo Sopaj increases output R1→R3 (+78%)

Career & formMcGhee +4.4

significant — Marcus McGhee has 71% win rate (SoS-adj); Marcus McGhee is Elite tier; Marcus McGhee is 36 (10 years older)

PhysicalMcGhee +1.7

slight — Marcus McGhee is 5cm taller; Marcus McGhee has 7cm reach advantage; Benardo Sopaj is younger (26 vs 36)

Last 5 Fights

How tough the opponents were, and how each fighter did against them

Marcus McGhee

Opposition

48.7Averageavg opponent strength

Performance

62.8Strong Recent

Record: 4W-1L · Adj WR: 77.3%

Avg Bout Quality: 57.5

Benardo Sopaj

Opposition

42.3avg opponent strength

Performance

50.3Average Recent

Record: 2W-1L · Adj WR: 60.6%

Avg Bout Quality: 44.5

Recent Opponents (Last 5)

Marcus McGhee

WJohn Yannis
LowStandard Windom: 49.6
LPetr Yan
MidUnlucky Lossdom: 45.0
WJonathan Martinez
EliteStandard Windom: 57.6
WGaston Bolanos
LowImpressive Windom: 50.8
WJP Buys
LowGood Windom: 34.1

Benardo Sopaj

WTimmy Cuamba
MidGood Windom: 47.4
WRicky Turcios
MidUnimpressive Windom: 41.1
LVinicius Oliveira
LowCompetitive Loss
Category Breakdown

Per-metric comparison across all scoring categories

StrikingMcGhee +5.9

MetricMarcus McGheeBenardo Sopaj
Sig Strikes Diff/Fight18.8-3.7
Striking Accuracy43.6%58.0%
Striking Defense57.7%49.7%
KD Diff/Fight0.50.3
Avg Knockdowns0.50.7
GrapplingSopaj +5.8

MetricMarcus McGheeBenardo Sopaj
TD Diff/Fight0.01.0
Takedown Accuracy11.1%60.0%
Takedown Defense90.0%76.9%
Ctrl Time Diff/Fight-1:-241:43
Avg Sub Attempts0.20.7
CardioSopaj +5.0

MetricMarcus McGheeBenardo Sopaj
R1 Avg Sig Strikes21.714.3
R3 Avg Sig Strikes21.725.5
Output Change R1→R30.0%+77.9%
Career & formMcGhee +4.4

MetricMarcus McGheeBenardo Sopaj
Win Rate83.3%66.7%
Recent Record (L5)4W-1L2W-1L
Age3626
Physical & SoSMcGhee +1.7

MetricMarcus McGheeBenardo Sopaj
Age3626
Height173 cm168 cm
Reach175 cm168 cm
StanceOrthodoxOrthodox
SoS Score52.845.9
Avg Opp Strength45.943.4
Method Probability
KO/TKO24.2%
McGhee: 14.9%Sopaj: 9.3%
Submission14.0%
McGhee: 4.6%Sopaj: 9.5%
Decision61.7%
McGhee: 33.7%Sopaj: 28.0%

Model v2.1